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#10 – Caleb Williams
Williams scored on the opening drive last week against the Vikings, and he’s got the jets to make it happen at any moment of a game.
Then there’s the happy feet issue.
Williams is still not looking super confident in the pocket in his second season, so he’s more likely to take off whenever there’s pressure or when the pocket collapses. That’s why we like him at +400 to score a touchdown when Bears meet the Lions in Week 2.
#9 – Breece Hall
While everyone is looking at Buffalo’s epic comeback against the Ravens last week, we like a couple of things in Hall’s favor to consider him for the Over at 79.5 total yards.
First, the Jets’ RB is coming off a rough 2024 season with redemption on his mind. The Jets’ offense put up 30+ against a tough Steelers’ defense last weekend, with Hall racking up 107 yards on the ground alone, to go with 38 yards receiving.
And what nobody’s talking about is a pretty porous Bills defense that gave up 40 in their first game.
Sure, it’s a safe play at -115. Singles and doubles count with props, even when we’re looking for the occasional home run. Add it to a parlay too for a bigger play too.
#8 – Chicago First to 10
The Bears slowed down and let Minnesota dominate the 4th quarter last week, but Chicago’s opening half was solid. Caleb Williams marched the team down the field and ran in a TD on the first drive, and he completed his first 10 passes of the game.
And you know Ben Johnson is going to get better every game.
He especially knows his former team, Detroit. He’ll be able to game plan against the Lions like no other team this season. Plus, the Lions looked seriously underwhelming in Week 1, never getting into a game that they lost by two TDs.
We like the Bears to be the First to 10 at +145. If you’re feeling it too, Chicago’s First to 15 odds are even tastier +175.
#7 – Drake Maye
With the Miami Dolphins looking suddenly like the worst team in the league, we’re liking the Patriots’ Drake Maye prop to throw Over 1.5 touchdowns this week. It’s a comfortable +135 at the moment.
The Dolphins couldn’t stop Indianapolis in Week 1, letting Daniel Jones cook with 272 yards passing and 2 rushing TDs on the way to a 33-8 victory. And by all accounts, Drake Maye > Daniel Jones.
Maye threw 46 passes in the Pats’ loss to the Raiders last week, so anywhere close to that volume should net him at least two touchdowns against Miami.
#6 – Patrick Mahomes
The Super Bowl rematch game between the Chiefs and the Eagles in Week 2 offers up some great props for A-listers.
Patrick Mahomes is still on that list, but we’re including him here for a reason he wouldn’t like.
Mahomes is listed at -115 for the total interceptions prop of 0.5 O/U. So if he throws just one pick, you cash.
Given that his WR1 Xavier Worthy is out, the Eagles’ swarming defense can now tighten up and cover Travis Kelce over the middle. They were tied for first in total INTs last season, and Quinton Mitchell and Cooper DeJean will have the deeper routes to patrol.
#5 – Saquon Barkley
Ok Chiefs fans, ease up. We’re also taking the other team’s best player and setting up a negative prop bet.
Last week, Barkley only put up 60 yards against a Cowboys’ run defense that was one of the worst in the league last year.
We like the Chiefs’ stronger run D to keep the MVP under 87.5 yards for -115. We just don’t see how those extra yards come against a team that was 3rd in the NFL last season, allowing a total of 85 yards per game.
#4 – JJ McCarthy
Which JJ McCarthy will show up in Week 2 of the NFL?
The one who couldn’t get it going for 3 quarters in his NFL debut last week? Or the one that lit up the Bears for 2 passing TDs and a rushing touchdown in the 4th quarter?
With Jefferson, Hockenson, and Addison all ready go to against Atlanta, we’re betting on the latter version of McCarthy. Book the Over 212.5 yards total passing for odds of -115.
#3 – Matthew Stafford
Sneaky stat: the Titans pass defense was 2nd in the entire league last season, giving up 117 yards per game.
That’s part of the reason we’re looking at the Under for Matthew Stafford’s total passing yards of 236.5.
The other reasons? Stafford has a back injury that may need epidurals before every game and Puka Nacua is already running into injury trouble. And 3 Rams’ O-line members are also hobbling.
#2 – Calvin Austin III
With the Seahawks defenders keying on DK Metcalf – and Metcalf playing his old team and grabbing all the headlines – smart money knows to look away from the hype.
That brings Calvin Austin III to the prop sheet. At -115 to go Over 38.5 yards, and Aaron Rodgers slinging it again after a year of frustration in New York, this feels like an easy W.
#1 – Tampa Bay Buccaneers
We like to complete the top NFL props list with a big payday bet if it hits.
At +415 to win both halves, the Bucs could provide a solid payday for anyone. The Bucs-Texans game should be close, with a spread of just 2.5, but Houston managed just 9 points in a loss to the Rams last weekend.
We don’t see enough signs of them turning it around in just a week. Plus, Baker’s got a new favorite receiver in Emeka Egbuka, to go with Mike Evans and the dual threat to pick up receiving and rushing yards, Bucky Irving.